European Bread Market

The Market

The western European bread industry produces 25 million tonnes of bread per annum, of which the industrial or plant sector's share is 8 million tonnes. Germany and the UK are the main operators with 60% of plant sector production – France, the Netherlands and Spain produce another 20 % between them.

Despite the dominance of industrial bakers in some European markets, such as in Britain and Ireland where they represent over 80% of the market, craft bakers continue to represent the bulk of bread production in Europe, accounting for an estimated 48% of the total volume in 1997, compared with 36% for industrial bakers and 16% for semi-industrial bread., including frozen part-baked products and in-store bakery production. . Even now, in France, Italy and Germany craft bakers have by far the largest market share although the situation is changing rapidly. Throughout Western Europe the plant sector is taking market share away from the master bakers. In Germany there are 18, 000 craft bakers but the number is expected to half in the next five years. In the UK and Denmark, plant bakeries currently hold between 75 – 80% of the market.

There are a number of reasons for this. The younger generation are not prepared to work the very long hours required in craft bakeries, preferring to work shorter shifts in modern industries. However, the main reason is commercial pressure. In Germany some of the larger plant baking companies are now supplying their own chains of retail shops instead of supermarkets. These chains have grown rapidly and now account for more than 30% of the German market. In France frozen dough and part baked baguettes have transformed the market so that co-operatives and industrial baking companies are flourishing at the expense of the craft sector.

In-store bakeries are perhaps the fastest growing sector, continuing to increase in number as the larger retailers gain an increased share of the overall retail market. Freshness remains a significant factor in bread purchasing on the Continent, with many consumers buying bread daily for same day consumption. In-store bakeries therefore have a distinct advantage over industrial pre-packed products and offer strong competition to the small craft baker. In the UK supermarket in-store bakeries produce more than 15% of all bread and have taken market share away from craft bakers who now produce less than 5%. British master bakers cannot compete with the price of bread sold in supermarkets.

Key Players

Throughout Europe, there is a strong link between the industrial baking sector and the agricultural and milling industries, with many of the large bakers being owned by key agricultural or milling concerns. For example, in the UK the two largest plant bakers, Allied Bakeries and British Bakeries, are owned by Associated British Foods and Ranks Hovis Macdougal. Unlike the biscuit industry, which is dominated by multi-national companies such as Danone and Bahlsen, the industrial bread baking industry is largely made up of companies which concentrate solely on their domestic market. However, some of the larger industrial bakers have strong links with other through a common parent company or through a parent/subsidiary relationship. For example, Skogaholms Brod of Sweden and Hatting-Bageri of Denmark are both owned by the Swedish company Cerealia, while Austria's leading industrial baker, Ankerbrot, is owned by the German firm Muller-Brot.

Retailers

The retail market is also changing. In Southern France large hypermarkets are the main sellers of bread while German trading groups are gaining ground in the East. Discounters, including Lidl, Norma, Aldi and Plus are also significant. In the UK, conventional major multiple retailers (Tesco, Sainsbury, Safeway and Asda) have retained their dominant position by heavy discounting of key items which always include bread. 30% of sliced and wrapped bread is “private label”. In other words, while the bread is made by independent plant bakeries, the wrapper bears the name of the supermarket and the retailer dictates the composition and the price! A new player has emerged in the sale of bread and bakery products – the garage forecourt. This is in response to the traditional food retailers selling petrol at low prices, far below those of petrol company outlets.

Imports/Exports

Imports and exports of bread are limited. Only 1% of bread is imported in the UK, most ethnic breads being made locally although there is a small trade in part-baked and frozen speciality breads and morning goods and gas packed products. Exports from the UK are slightly higher, including part-baked and frozen French bread and rolls. There is increased interest on the continent in importing fresh sliced and wrapped bread from Britain, mainly for the growing sandwich market. Even so, all bread exports represent no more than 2% of the market.

Consumer Trends

Bread consumption in western Europe is stable, although it varies greatly between states. The Germans and Austrians eat the most bread at about 80kg per person per year while the UK and Ireland are at the bottom of the list with an annual consumption of less than 50 kg. Bread consumption is not likely to grow dramatically since bread is eaten in nearly every household and it is unrealistic to expect bread to make any major inroads into other sectors.

Increased foreign travel and the movement of ethnic groups have created demand for a greater variety of bread than ever before. Ethnic breads are becoming increasingly popular in the UK. In Germany more than 500,000 tonnes of Turkish bread is produced by and for the Turkish community, accounting for 10% of all German bread production. In France younger people are gradually turning away from traditional baguettes and opting instead for wholemeal loaves, factory made breadsticks, longer life sliced bread and “exotic” bread from regions of France and the world at large. Hot and cold sandwiches made from Swedish thin, unleavened bread have become quite trendy in Paris where “le grille Nordic” is now an established concept. Sales of Swedish crispbread are also increasing in other parts of Europe.

The Challenges Ahead

Out of home food consumption and snacking is increasing in the UK, in line with other European countries. Fast food outlets and sandwich bars are showing strong growth all over the continent, including the East. This trend will put pressure on the major multiples to defend their dominance of food sales. There will be continued growth in morning goods and speciality breads with opportunity for innovation. However, this is still a small sector of the total market and is not likely to make a major dent in the market share of sliced bread.

market share of plant and craft bakeries (% turnover)

COUNTRY PROFILES

Denmark

Bread production in 2002 was just under 360,000 tons, including craft bakeries., which was a slight rise on the tonnage recorded in 1998 of 356,000 tons. Total turnover of bread, including craft bakeries, was 1,344 million DM in 1998. There are 15 industrial bakeries in Denmark, with the largest four accounting for 85% of distribution. The number of craft bakeries was decreasing.

The most popular bread among Danish consumers is rye bread, however the sector saw a decrease in 2002. Growth in the white bread sector meant that the overall market share grew by 8%.

Finland

In 2002 total production of bread amounted to 235,312 tons, little changed from previous years. The market is dominated by two large companies, Fazer Bakeries and Vaasan & Vaasan who together hold 70% of the market share. The craft sector, which totals about 850 companies accounting for 15%.

Although the total production levels have remained static the share held by industrial bakeries are increasing.

Germany

Total domestic consumption in 2002 amounted to 6.4 million tons. The market share of Plant bakeries increased with the growth of the retailers and hard discounters with white bread and toasting bread driving the growth. The craft sector declined with 2,000 closures during 2002 leaving approximately 16,500.

The plant sector has less than 60 bakeries with four major players.

Italy

In 2002 total production of bread, including that of craft bakeries, reached 3.96 million tons. During this period, total turnover of bread in Italy amounted to €8, billion . Per capita consumption of bread decreased to 64 Kg, 2.8%.

As in other European countries, there is a trend towards takeovers and mergers in both the industrial bakery sector and the craft sector. The market share of industrial bakeries amounted to 8%, the same as the previous year. The price of bread in Italy remains stable.

The Netherlands

In 2002 bread production in the Netherlands amounted to just over 960,000 tons. The annual per capita consumption of bread has been static at 60Kg since 1998.

In 1998 there were 100 industrial and 2100 craft bakeries in . The market share of industrial bakeries amounted to 75% of turnover.

Consumers in the Netherlands prefer rye bread. Retail prices have risen slightly overall, particularly for wheat and special bread, although the average consumer price for sliced bread has decreased.

Norway

The industrial bakeries market is marked by strong competition due to the high concentration in the retail food sector, leading to a higher requirement for product innovation. 95.1% of the Norwegian food trade is controlled by four major food chains, two of which operate in-store bakeries. Norwegian bakeries are more or less restricted to the home market as customs duties for export are relatively high.

Spain

In 2002 total production of bread and biscuits, including that of craft bakeries, amounted to 2.362 million tons. Per capita consumption of bread and biscuits in Spain was 58.5 Kg. The market share for large bakeries is 7.9% of total value for sliced bread.

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